Fremantle v Essendon
Sunday 4:40pm at Domain Stadium

Round 7 concludes with a fascinating affair between Fremantle and Essendon with a Top 8 berth likely on the line with each going into this with a 3-3 record.
Fremantle had put together three straight wins before a disappointing 41-point loss in the Derby last Saturday. The Dockers uncharacteristically have conceded 100-plus in four games this season while they are averaging just 77ppg with scores above 73 just twice. Freo rank 17th in attack and 14th in defence.
Essendon opened the season with wins against Hawthorn and Brisbane but have since won just 1 of 4, the Anzac Day classic with Collingwood. Sandwiched around that were hammerings against Adelaide and Melbourne. The Bombers rank 11th in both attack and defence in 2017. Essendon have posted 100 in three of their six matches.
Stats That Matter
– Fremantle have won 6 of their last 8 against Essendon with three straight wins of 28 or more.
– Essendon have been held to 72 or less in 6 of the last 7 Dockers-Bombers clashes.
– Three of the last five Freo-Essendon games have gone over the total.
– The Dockers are 43-25 under at Subiaco since 2012.
– Freo have covered just 6 of their last 18 at Subiaco.
– Fremantle are 4-10 ATS at Subiaco off a loss of 40-plus.
– The Dockers have covered 6 of 8 when a single digit favourite at Subiaco since 2012.
– Essendon have covered just 1 of their last 5 trips to Perth.
– The Bombers have covered just 2 of their last 11 interstate games.
– The over has hit in 7 of the last 9 Essendon interstate games.
– Interstate outsiders who conceded 110 or more last start cover at just 44%.
– Interstate outsiders of less than two goals cover at just 39% with the under 57%.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Fremantle 2-4, Essendon 3-3
2017 Over-Under: Fremantle 3-3, Essendon 3-3
What To Expect
The toughest betting game of the week is the get out which is no favour to punters. Essendon are an absolute no bet interstate while Fremantle aren’t playing with any conviction. Fremantle are typically big under bets at home and that is the strongest angle here, supported by the under hitting big when there is a small interstate outsider.
How It’s Shaping Up
Fremantle by 14
Recommended Bet
Under 172.5 ($1.87)
Player Markets
Nat Fyfe has been in the papers this week with rumours rife that he is looking for a move to St Kilda. Players of his ilk typically respond on the field after such scuttlebutt and with Fyfe coming off a quiet game, the situation is primed for him to dominate. Fyfe has 28-plus touches in three games this year.
Recommended Bet
Nat Fyfe 30+ Disposals ($1.95) 

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