Bournemouth v Burnley: King to reign supreme

Bournemouth v Burnley
Saturday May 13, 15:00 BST

Bournemouth

The Cherries have taken seven points from a possible nine to push themselves up to 11th in the table and they will now be aiming to finish in the top half. Even if they don't quite manage it, their season must still be considered a success as they have never really looked in danger of going down and establishing themselves as a top flight club has to be the priority.

Eddie Howe's men would have been disappointed to have been held by an out of sorts, Stoke, last time out, but they showed great battling qualities to come from behind twice and they had won their two previous matches.

The man of the moment for Bournemouth has been Josh King as the former Blackburn forward has taken his tally to 15 goals for the season - scoring four of them during the course of their six most recent outings. He will no doubt be aiming to finish on a high.

Burnley

I am sure that you would have got good money on Burnley being safe from relegation with games to spare, but that's the situation we find ourselves in. Technically Hull could still equal their points tally but Burnley's goal difference is far superior and it would require a whole hosts of results to against The Clarets.

It took a long time - 18 matches in fact - for Sean Dyche's side to record their first away victory of the season, but they beat Crystal Palace on their last away trip and it wouldn't be the biggest shock in the world if they made it back to backs wins on Saturday.

Michael Keane is looking likely to return to the heart of the defence following a knock, but Ben Mee is expected to be sidelined. Sam Vokes scored a brace last time out so he will surely keep his place, which means that Andre Gray will probably have to settle for a substitute role.

Match Odds
Bournemouth 2.04 Burnley 4.10 The Draw 3.70

If the hosts were 1.70 shots I'd be recommending a lay or even a back of Burnley Draw no Bet. However that isn't the case and their price is just about big enough to financially invest in the home win.

Bournemouth have recently beaten West Ham, Swansea and Middlesbrough at Dean Court and they scored plenty of goals in the process. Their win record at home this term is 8/18 which isn't too bad considering their size and they couldn't be in much better form.

Obviously I appreciate that Burnley will be boosted by their victory at Selhurst Park, but they have still lost 13 of 18 away from Turf Moor this year and there has to be the suspicion that they will take their foot off the pedal now that they know they won't be going down.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals 1.84 Under 2.5 Goals 2.14

I'm going with goals in this one as the stats are backing it up. Bournemouth have had nine of their last 13 on this ground see over 2.5 backers collect and it's not like they just scraped over either.

An overwhelming eight of the nine ended with the ball in the net on at least four occasions and they will be aiming to put on a show for their fans in their final home game of the season.

Admittedly the stats aren't quite as good for the visitors as only seven of their last 11 on their travels have had three goals or more, but they are in good goalscoring form themselves with two goals in each of their last two matches.

It's also worth noting that the reverse fixture finished 3-2 up at Turf Moor.

Recommended Bets

Back Bournemouth @ 2.04
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.84