Nottingham Forest v Ipswich
Sunday, 7th May, 12:00
Live on Sky Sports

Nottingham Forest


Two-time European Cup winners Nottingham Forest are bracing themselves for something close to a sell-out as they bid to secure Championship safety with a win at home on Sunday at the City Ground.

The Tricky Trees fell to another away loss last weekend at QPR and now their dismal road record is their worst on their travels for almost 90 years. But the Reds performed admirably at Loftus Road, only lacking in confidence and composure.

Boss Mark Warburton has spoken frequently about the need to play with belief and confidence -they are qualities Forest have had in abundance on home soil since the ex-Rangers manager took charge.

Warburton doesn't believe there's a need for sweeping changes or new-look approach here with the Tricky Trees' three-man defence allowing young stars Ben Brereton and Zach Clough plus Jamie Ward and David Vaughan to flourish.

Ipswich

Ipswich manager Mick McCarthy admitted that his side lacked a competitive edge in last weekend's 1-0 defeat to Sheffield Wednesday at Portman Road despite naming the same side that produced an impressive 3-1 home win over Newcastle on Easter Monday.

That victory was built upon a high press, keeping the ball on the floor and utilising pace with dynamic attacks. However, the Tractor Boys got nowhere near matching that performance in a forgettable match with the Blues reverting to long-ball tactics towards lone striker David McGoldrick.

Town are still in danger of their lowest league finish since 1959 (16th) and with speculation linking Dutch manager Maurice Steijn to the role, the club's support are losing faith ahead of a 16th successive season in the second-tier.

Meanwhile, goalkeeper Bartosz Bialkowski was named the 'Supporters' Club Player of the Year' for the second season running in the week, another indication of the lack of progress at Portman Road over the past two years.

Match Odds

Nottingham Forest could and should have ensured their Championship status against Blackburn last month but froze on the main stage. But I wouldn't expect the Tricky Trees to fall back into a similar trap here on Sunday.

The Reds have played with style and verve for the majority of their matches under Warburton and were impressive winners when dispatching Huddersfield here before Good Friday.

Boasting a W5-D1-L1 home record against the bottom-nine and having beaten five of the top-seven teams in the division, Forest have proven they're capable of producing the goods but 1.59 odds are unappealing.

Ipswich 5.70 might be stuck in stagnation but McCarthy is too professional not to prepare properly for this game. However, whether his players can lift themselves after discouraging defeats to Rotherham and Sheffield Wednesday remains questionable.

The visitors have W5-D7-L10 of their away days and been beaten in four of their seven trips to teams below them in the standings. Three losses in four games as guests also indicate a home win is the likeliest scenario here.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals 1.68 has landed in 13/22 (59%) of City Ground encounters this term with 15 (68%) also providing profit for Both Teams To Score hunters. But with both markets too short to consider, there's room for manoeuvre elsewhere.

Nottingham Forest have scored at least twice in 12/22 (55%) games here and have an excellent recent W10-D5-L6 record when entertaining the bottom-half in Robin Hood county. If we combine the two markets we can support the Tricky Trees in a game involving three goals or more at 13/10 on the sportsbook.

Ipswich have seen both sides score in six of their last seven outside of Suffolk whilst four of their seven visits to clubs below them in the standings have also produced at least three goals.

Recommended Bets
Back Nottingham Forest to win and Over 2.5 Goals @ [13/10]

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