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Canberra Raiders v Manly Sea Eagles

Friday, April 21, 6pm (AEST), GIO Stadium, Canberra

The Raiders have bounced back after a slow start to the year and are starting to look like premiership contenders. The Sea Eagles had their chances against the Storm in a high-scoring clash in Round 7 and Trent Barrett would be well advised to focus on defence this week against a Raiders side littered with attacking weapons like Jordan Rapana and Joseph Leilua. The Sea Eagles will be boosted by the return of Martin Taupau.
The Raiders have won 3 of their last 4 against the Sea Eagles, while Sea Eagles have won 5 of the last 6 at Canberra. The Raiders won both clashes in 2016, winning the Round 13 clash in Canberra by 30-18, followed by a 44-30 victory in Round 25 at Brookvale. Both Tom Trbojevic and Jordan Rapapa scored hat-tricks in the high-scoring affair.
Canberra have been in superb form with three straight wins and four victories in their last five matches. They enter this off a 20-8 win over New Zealand at home. They have conceded just 12.17ppg in their last five and are up to fifth on the ladder with the third best differential. Manly’s strong run of form that saw them win three straight has come to a crashing halt with poor home losses to St George Illawarra and Melbourne where they conceded 30-plus in each. The Sea Eagles have played just two road games all season but defeated the Cowboys and Roosters, conceding an average of just 10ppg. Manly are down to ninth on the ladder with a 3-4 record.
Key Matchup
Jack Wighton v Tom Trbojevic. Wighton is one of the unsung heroes of the Raiders side, with “Leipana” getting the majority of the credit. Wighton has four try-assists over the past two rounds and is starting to become a valuable ball player to the Raiders side. Trbojevic scored a hat-trick in his last clash against the Raiders and will be a key member for the Sea Eagles if they’re to spring an upset in Canberra. Trbojevic has three try-assists in his past three matches and was unstoppable in last week’s loss to the Storm.
Stats That Matter
Canberra are 6-1 ATS with a 4-3 over record while Manly are 4-3 ATS with a 4-3 under record. The Raiders have won 3 of their last 4 against the Sea Eagles with all those wins by margins of 12 or greater. Manly have won 5 of the last 6 at Canberra Stadium though. The last six matches between the two teams have all topped 45 points. Manly have covered 10 of their last 16 as a road underdog of more than a converted try while they have covered 8 of their last 12 on the road overall.
Final Thoughts
The Wolf is predicting another high-scoring clash here, with the last six matches going over 45 points. Overs is definitely the play, but the Sea Eagles with a big start is also another recommended play by The Wolf.
How It’s Shaping Up
Canberra by 6
Best Bet
Over 41.5 ($1.88)

Other Recommended Bets
Manly +12 ($1.91)

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