The Tigers and Hawks square off in a mammoth Sunday afternoon battle with Richmond looking to lock down a Top 4 berth and the Hawks clinging to an unlikely finals dream.
FormRichmond have moved up to fourth on the ladder with a 12-6 record. They rank second defensively but rank worst of all Top 8 teams in scoring, rating 11th overall. The Tigers have won three on the trot and seven of their last nine. Richmond have kept opponents to 66 or under in six of their last nine matches. Richmond are 7-2 at the MCG this year.
Hawthorn have found their groove after an awful start to the season with just one loss – a close defeat to Geelong – in their last six games. The Hawks are up to 12th on the ladder with an 8-9-1 record as they look to make an unlikely surge to the finals. Hawthorn rank 15th in both scoring and defence.
Stats That Matter
– Hawthorn have won 3 of the last 4 and 9 of the last 13 against Richmond.
– Hawthorn have covered four straight against Richmond.
– The under has hit in 4 of the last 5 Tigers-Hawks clashes.
– Richmond are 48-29 under at the MCG since 2012 with eight straight under games.
– The Tigers have covered 9 of their last 12 at the MCG.
– The Tigers are 20-31 ATS as a favourite at the MCG since 2012 with a 32-19 under number.
– The Hawks have covered 4 of their last 6 at the MCG.
– Hawthorn are 15-6 under as an outsider since 2012.
– The Hawks are 13-8 ATS as an underdog since 2012.
– Richmond are 28-14 under after keeping an opponent to under 70 points.
– Richmond are 42-19 under after scoring more than 90 points.
Betting Data2017 Line: Richmond 13-5, Hawthorn 9-9
2017 Over-Under: Richmond 4-14, Hawthorn 5-13
What To ExpectThe total on this should jump about 140 even if it is a beautiful sunny day. These two are a combined 27-9 under this year and all the angles suggest this will be a low-scoring affair, heightened by the stakes of the match. Richmond are a huge under team at the MCG and big under team off a good attacking performance while the Hawks are a big under team in the rare situation as an underdog. The under can be bet with total confidence.
How It’s Shaping UpRichmond by 13

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