The Saints and Eagles both sit on the edge of the Top 8 making this game absolutely critical to both team’s finals fortunes.
FormSt Kilda’s form has gone south of late with three straight losses after a run of four straight wins that included a 67-point demolition job of Richmond. The Saints have been held to 61 or fewer in all three of those matches and lost to Port last week despite holding them to 63. The Saints are down to 11th on the ladder with a 9-9 record.
West Coast continue to mix their form, going 4-4 over the last eight weeks without consecutive wins or losses. The Eagles are up to eighth on the ladder with a 10-8 record following a 68-point home win over Brisbane. West Coast have kept opponents to below 50 in two of their last three. The Eagles have the fifth ranked defence and rate ninth in scoring.
Stats That Matter
– West Coast have won eight straight against St Kilda, including the last three in Melbourne.
– The Eagles have covered 3 of the last 4 against the Saints.
– The under has hit in 5 of the last 7 Saints-Eagles games.
– St Kilda have covered just 5 of their last 15 at Etihad.
– The under has hit in 9 of the last 12 West Coast games at Etihad.
– The Saints have covered just 1 of 6 as a favourite at Etihad this year.
– The under has hit in 8 of the last 10 when St Kilda have been favoured by less than two goals.
– West Coast are 18-7 under as an interstate outsider since 2012.
– The Eagles have covered 4 of their last 5 as an interstate underdog.
– The under is a perfect 9-0 when West Coast are an interstate underdog of less than two goals with the Eagles 3-6 ATS in the situation.
– The Saints are 24-14 ATS in Melbourne day matches.
– St Kilda are 13-3 ATS in day matches after being held to 65 or fewer.
– West Coast are 17-9 under after keeping a team to 60 or fewer.
Betting Data2017 Line: St Kilda 7-11, West Coast 8-10
2017 Over-Under: St Kilda 7-11, West Coast 7-11
What To ExpectSupremely confident about the under here and there is come confidence about a West Coast win too. The angles are big for the under here, particularly with West Coast as an interstate underdog. When a close interstate underdog, the under is 9-0 since 2012. The under has hit in 4 of the last 5 clashes and St Kilda are a big under team as a small favourite at Etihad. Chips in under.
How It’s Shaping UpWest Coast by 7
Best: Under 172.5 points ($1.88)

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