Netherlands v Denmark
Sunday, 16:00
Live on Channel 4

It was sad to see England fade so badly in their semi final against the Netherlands, but the Dutch thoroughly deserved their success, and are now the strong favourites to beat Denmark and become the fourth host nation to win a European Championship. 

The Netherlands are 1.78 to win the game in normal time, and that seems about right after their 1-0 Group win over the same opposition, but that's a game that really sticks in my mind. 

I tipped over 2.5 goals and also fancied the Danes to cause an upset, and both things very nearly happened. Denmark missed a hatful of chances in an open first hour, and we saw a real weakness from this Netherlands team. The Danes are certainly the team that has come closest to upsetting the hosts, and it seems right that they provide the final opposition. 

There isn't too much doubt that the two best teams have made the final, and to go against type in these big events, I expect a relatively open game. I know that the Dutch have conceded just once in the competition and that the Denmark v Austria semi final seemed a real bore, but this could well be an occasion on which styles mesh to lead to an entertaining game, and with Over 2.5 Goals trading at around the 2.50 mark, that's too big given the attacking talent on offer. 

As we saw against England, the Netherlands have felt the need to entertain a large crowd, and they've started to bare their attacking teeth and play on the front foot. That will suit Denmark, who had an uncharacteristically poor game in front of goal in that Group Stage defeat, and that's unlikely to be repeated. I think that they'll score and make life hard for a team that has played well, but had a lot of luck throughout the competition. 

If you're thinking of backing the Danes to win in 90 minutes, then I wouldn't put you off: their chances are a lot better than a rather derisory 5.00 would suggest and Pernille Harder could cement her status as the best player at this tournament if she produces a match winning display. 

The Dutch will be nervous, eager to please, and desperate to win. They'll attack from the start with their flying wingers, and might just start to look more vulnerable than they have done in the whole tournament. 

Euro 2017 has been a joy, a breath of fresh air, and a competition that might just change the womens' game for ever. I hope, and expect, that it will get the final that it deserves.

Back over 2.5 goals in Netherlands v Denmark @ 2.50

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