AFL Preview: Power v Saints

Port Adelaide v St Kilda

Saturday 4:35pm at Adelaide Oval

Only a win separates Port Adelaide and St Kilda making this an all-important clash as the finals draw ever-nearer.

Form

Port Adelaide are fifth on the ladder with a 10-7 record. They do, however, have the best defence in the AFL and rank second in scoring. Port enter this off a loss to Melbourne but have not lost two straight since Round 4. The Power have won four of their last six. Port have scored 120-plus in three of their last six.

St Kilda have fallen to 11th on the ladder with a 9-8 record. The Saints rank 11th in scoring and 12th in defence. St Kilda have lost their last two after winning four on end, briefly slipping into the Top 8 before falling back out. The Saints have been held to 60 or fewer in their last four losses. St Kilda have conceded 100-plus in their last two.

Stats That Matter

– Port Adelaide have won five straight against St Kilda.

– The Power have covered 4 of the 5 matches against the Saints since 2012.

– The under is 28-17 in Port Adelaide games at Adelaide Oval.

– Port are 12-7 ATS with a 12-7 under record as a favourite of more than four goals at Adelaide Oval.

– St Kilda are 12-25 ATS interstate since 2012 and have covered just 1 of 4 this year.

– The Saints are 7-11 ATS interstate getting five or more goals.

– St Kilda are 3-6 ATS interstate after conceding 60 or fewer.

Betting Data

2017 Line: Port Adelaide 10-7, St Kilda 6-11

2017 Over-Under: Port Adelaide 7-10, St Kilda 7-10

What To Expect

This game seems fairly cut and dry. Port are super-reliable at home, particularly as a big favourite, while St Kilda are abhorrent interstate. The Saints don’t bounce back well after a poor scoring performance either. The Power should continue their strong record against St Kilda.

How It’s Shaping Up

Port Adelaide by 52

Recommended Bet

Port Adelaide -30.5 ($1.91)

Player Markets

Brad Ebert has been in outstanding form of late, averaging 117 over his last three games.

Recommended Bet

Brad Ebert 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)