Carl Frampton v Andres Gutierrez
Saturday, 22:00
Live on Five

The Jackal promised fans he would bring big fights back to his home town, and he's done exactly that here.

On paper, Frampton vs Guttierrez looks an even match up, with both men losing only once before, but layers are having none of it, pricing the local hero as a convincing favourite at just 1.07.

If you too fancy a Frampton win, there's not an awful lot to get excited about in the match odds betting, so we need to dig a bit deeper for a share of value.

Thirty-year-old Frampton lost his first professional fight in 24 outings last time, going down to old rival Leo Santa Cruz on a majority decision. The Brit dropped his WBA world title in the process, and to make matters worse, it came by the tightest of margins, a majority decision on the scorecards. One judge sat ringside at the MGM Grand back in January called the bout a draw, his two colleagues giving it to Cruz by just two rounds.

Tough, but considering Frampton did the same to Cruz the time before, perhaps it was a little easier to get over and pick out the positives from his effort. Last year, Frampton again put his title on the line in America, this time getting the nod over Santa Cruz in a majority - draw, four rounds and six rounds the difference that night.

Both previous meetings of Frampton and Cruz have been agonisingly close, and with the score sitting at 1-1, we simply have to have the trilogy. Fans want it, the fighters want it and, of course, the game's money men would love it. If that decider is to happen, Frampton has to win here, and convincingly too. This is little more than a bout to keep him warm in the meantime, but lose this and The Jackal will have no right to call on a third with Santa Cruz.

Mexican Andres Gutierrez is no mere opponent either; when Frampton said he didn't want to cut corners in his comeback, he wasn't kidding. The away fighter brings a record of 35 wins against one loss and a draw. Just to make things more interesting, his sole defeat also came on a majority points decision, against Cristian Mijares in Mexico for the WBC Silver last summer.

Gutierrez, 24, got back on track with a sixth round TKO win over Wallington Orobio last time, a bout he was expected to win, but did so convincingly. Betfair Sportsbook has the upset at 10/1, while there's 15.00 currently going around on the Exchange on victory for Andres.

A Frampton win looks nailed on here and, although this should be closer than the betting suggests, I do think the favourite will get the desired result. Each of The Jackal's last three wins have all come on points, and that's the way the market expects this to go, but I'm taking the value about a KO/TKO win. Back it at anything better than 2.50 when the market becomes liquid.

Gutierrez has boxed at super bantamweight for a large part of his career. Against a strong, relentless featherweight, cheered on by a fiercely loyal support, the man in the away corner will soon find out he's in for a tough night.

Recommended Bet
Back Carl Frampton to beat Andres Gutierrez via KO/TKO at 2.50 or better

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