St Kilda v Richmond
Saturday 7:25pm at Etihad Stadium

A Top 8 clash with plenty on the line here, the Saints and the Tigers know how important the four points will be in this one.

St Kilda are eighth on the ladder with an 8-6 record, following three straight wins against opposition outside the Top 8. In all three of those wins the Saints kept their opposition to 80 points or fewer. The Saints rank 11th in both scoring and defence. St Kilda are 6-4 in games played in Melbourne in 2017.

Richmond are up to fourth on the premiership ladder with a 9-5 record following a stunning victory over Port Adelaide. The Tigers have now won four of their last five with their only defeat a capitulation against Sydney. Richmond’s success has been built on their second-ranked defence while they rate 13th in scoring.

Stats That Matter

– Richmond have won 6 of the last 7 clashes against St Kilda.
– The Saints have covered the last three games against the Tigers.
– The under has hit in 5 of the last 6 matches.
– The Saints have covered just 4 of their last 13 at Etihad.
– The Tigers are 9-6 ATS at Etihad since 2012.
– Richmond are 6-2 under in night games at Etihad.
– St Kilda are 9-3 over at Etihad as an underdog of less than two goals.
– Richmond have gone under in five straight night games in Melbourne.
– The Tigers are 22-10 under in Melbourne after conceding 70 or fewer points.

Betting Data
2017 Line: St Kilda 5-9, Richmond 11-3
2017 Over-Under: St Kilda 6-8, Richmond 2-12

What To Expect
Love the under in this game. Richmond have been a remarkable under team all season going under the total in 12 of their 14 games. The Tigers are a huge under team off a good defensive performance while they are an under team at night. The Saints can get into the grind as well so the under seems a good thing here.

How It’s Shaping Up
Richmond by 12

Recommended Bet
Under 166.5 points ($1.88)

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