Day 6: Feature Previews

Grigor Dimitrov v Dudi Sela

This may be the best bet of The Championships thus far. Dimitrov has been in stunning form and playing vintage grass court tennis while Sela will be absolutely spent following back to back 5 set wins. Dimitrov holds a 4-0 H2H advantage in matches played on the main tour between the pair but it is not the record that has the attention of The Wolf but the scoreline in their most recent clashes. Dimitrov has won 9 of the 10 sets contested with 4 of the last 5 coming by a double break margin. He has been able to break the Sela serve at will and if Isner is able to generate 14 break point opportunities just imaging how many Dimitrov will get! Back the Bulgarian from every angle possible! 

Best: Dimitrov -7.5 ($2.00)

Ernests Gulbis v Novak Djokovic

The Wolf says he could be getting this one all wrong but cannot ignore what he has seen with his eyes. Everyone has been quick to say that Djokovic is back to his best but The Wolf couldn’t disagree more. His title winning run in Eastbourne against inferior competition has disguised the fact that he is far from back to his best. Klizan rolled over and retired in his opening round match while Pavlasek could barely make a 1st serve. Then we have the fact that Ernests Gulbis was incredible in a straight sets win over Del Potro. He plays the tennis of a man that is worthy of being in the top 10 and it is his massive serve which gives him a puncher’s chance. He thundered down 25 aces in three sets and has won in excess of 80% of points on his first serve. He will prevent Djokovic from getting into a rhythm and will go for it on return. To many this would be a shock result but not The Wolf. He says to get right around the Overs and to make sure you have a little something on Gulbis to win outright at double figure odds.

Best: Over 31.5 games ($1.91)

David Ferrer v Tomas Berdych

Few 35 year-olds have put their bodies through what David Ferrer has but the marathon man keeps going and The Wolf is very surprised to still see him in the tournament. His upset win over Gasquet was impressive and with Darcis retiring after just 3 games in his second round match he will be fresh. Berdych has dropped a set in each of his matches but it is fair to say that both Chardy and Harrison posses more power than the Spaniard. The pair are locked at 7 wins a piece in their 14 prior encounters but it is Berdych who has had the better of it in recent years. He has won 4 of the last 5 including the last two in straight sets – both on clay, Ferrer’s favourite surface. If Berdych can beat him in straight sets on clay The Wolf gives him little chance of claiming a set on grass.

Best: Sets Berdych 3-0 ($2.15)

Mischa Zverev v Roger Federer

Federer got off to a very slow start against Lajovic and struggled to find the range on his forehand. He clicked into gear in the breaker and The Wolf loved the fact that he was trying to venture to the net at every opportunity. HE is unlikey to get to the net as often against Zverev who will serve and volley on almost every point. Mischa is no threat to Federer as he has no baseline game whatsoever. Federer has won all 4 of their previous matches including a 7-6 6-4 in Halle a fortnight ago. That scoreline make the contest look closer than it was. Zverev was unable to generate a single break point with Roger winning 76% of points on serve despite making a little over half of his first serves. Zverev will not break his serve and that makes Federer at the line a fantastic bet. With the German coming off a 5 setter look for him to fade dramatically in the 3rd set.

Best: Federer -7.5 ($1.80)

Sebastian Ofner v Alexander Zverev

The Wolf is a big believer in Alexander Zverev but the lines and totals for this match are set as if Roger or Rafa are at the peak of their powers. Fair enough he is yet to drop a set but each of his 6 sets have had at least 9 games and he has converted 7 of 9 break points (78%) – a figure which is unsustainable. Ofner is getting not credit for his performances thus far. He came through the qualifiers and got himself a win over Bellucci but it is the resolve which he showed against Sock which stands out. After winning the opening two sets he lost the next two in not time but came out of the clouds in the 5th to crush the American. Zverev will win but The Wolf can see Ofner pushing him to at least one breaker.

Best: Over 29.5 games ($1.73)

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