AFL Preview: Crows v Bulldogs

Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
Friday 7:50pm at Adelaide Oval

High-flying Adelaide host fading defending premiers the Western Bulldogs, who have fallen out of the Top 8 and are staring down the barrel of a season without finals football.

Form
Adelaide sit second on the ladder with a 10-4 record based on an AFL-best attack that is scoring 114.1 points per game. Defensively they rank fourth. The Crows have won four of their last six but have lost twice at the Adelaide Oval this season. Adelaide are 6-2 against teams outside the Top 8 this year.

The Bulldogs are down to 10th on the ladder on the back of just two wins in their last seven matches. The Bulldogs have scored more than 90 points in just 1 of their last 9 matches and rank a lowly 14th in scoring. They are much better defensively rating sixth. The Bulldogs are a lowly 2-5 against Top 8 opposition this year.

Stats That Matter

– The Western Bulldogs have won 7 of the last 11 matches.
– The Bulldogs have covered 5 of the 7 matches since 2012.
– Four of the last five matches have gone over the total.
– Adelaide are 28-16 ATS at Adelaide Oval since 2012.
– As a favourite of more than three goals at Adelaide Oval, the Crows are 14-9 ATS.
– Adelaide are 14-8 ATS at home after scoring fewer than 100 points.
– The Bulldogs are 23-13 under interstate.
– The Bulldogs have covered 7 of their last 10 interstate games.
– The Bulldogs are 6-13 ATS interstate when getting more than three goals.
– The Bulldogs are 26-16 under at night.

Betting Data
2017 Line: Adelaide 9-5, Western Bulldogs 4-10
2017 Over-Under: Adelaide 6-8, Western Bulldogs 5-9

What To Expect
The Bulldogs seem as done as a Sunday dinner at present. Their inability to score makes this a terrible matchup for them to boot. Adelaide rarely don’t cover at the Adelaide Oval and are particularly threatening as a big favourite. The Crows will be up for this against the premiers.

How It’s Shaping Up
Adelaide by 36

Recommended Bet
Adelaide -23.5 ($1.91)

Player Markets
Brad Crouch has enjoyed a sensational fortnight, posting fantasy scores of 116 and 131. He has found his feet after missing the opening four games of the year.

Recommended Bet
Brad Crouch 110+ Fantasy Points ($2.60)