Wednesday 19 July, 18:15
We don't visit Macedonia much in this column, but we might start going there a bit more often, if last night is anything to go by. We backed Over 2.5 Goals, and Vardar Skopje took care of that on their own, as their 3-1 win over Malmo saw them through to the next qualifying round of the Champions League.
We're off to Norway tonight, for a bit more Champions League glamour. Norwegian champions Rosenborg are up against Dundalk, and the tie is delicately balanced after a 1-1 draw in the Republic of Ireland.
Rosenborg tend to be pretty strong at the Lerkendal Stadion in Trondheim, and in the domestic Eliteserien they have won six of their last nine home games. They have only lost one of their last 11 competitive matches on home soil, so you can see why they are trading at 1.51 to win this.
However, the trend I'm more interested in relates to goals. 19 of their last 22 home games in the league have featured three goals or more, and if you look at the two Champions League qualifiers they played in Trondheim last season, both featured three goals or more. Recent signing Nicklas Bendtner is playing his part - the former Arsenal striker has netted six league goals this term.
So, what can Dundalk bring to our goal party? Well, they haven't drawn a blank in a game since June, and ten of their last 15 games in all competitions have finished above the 2.5 Goals line. Dundalk need to push for an away goal, and Rosenborg will play on the front foot, as they always do at home.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.96
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