Netherlands v Denmark
Live on British Eurosport 2
After beating Norway in their opening game, all eyes will once again be on Sarina Wiegmann and her Netherlands team as they face Denmark in Rotterdam, knowing that another win would make sure of a place in the quarter-finals.
Given the stuttering starts made by both Germany and France, there are those who feel that the Dutch have a genuine chance of winning the title. They've shortened now to 8.40, and are disputing third favouritism with England.
That's understandable given the attacking flair that they displayed in their opener against Norway, but the worry about the Netherlands before this tournament was their backline, and a clean sheet hasn't made those issues go away. There were times against Norway when Caroline Graham Hansen tore the Dutch to shreds, and it was only the loss of form and confidence of Ada Hegeberg that stopped Norway from scoring.
Denmark beat newcomers Belgium fairly comfortably, despite the 1-0 scoreline, and they are normally full of goals. Pernille Harder is their main threat, and I think that she'll give the Netherlands backline real problems, particularly if there is support from midfield areas from the likes of Sanne Troelsberg Nielsen.
The low-scoring nature of this tournament so far means that Over 2.5 Goals prices are on the rise, and we can take advantage. A glance at the results of Denmark's warm-up matches (ignore qualifying, as it's often against inferior opposition) shows that their games are often full of goals, and the way that both of these sides' opening games were played (open, attacking, full of missed chances) suggests that Over 2.5 Goals here should be odds on: it's not, and so it gives us a chance of a decent bet.
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Netherlands v Denmark @ 2.20
Sweden v Russia/Germany v Italy
Friday, 17:00 and 19:45
Live on British Eurosport 2 and More4
Germany against Sweden may have ended goalless, and indeed looked uninspiring, but it was the classiest game of the tournament so far, and both sides showed that they can go deep at Euro 2017.
Watching the thriller between Italy and Russia and then the more attritional game between Germany and Sweden was instructive. One was the better game, the other had by far the better quality. It looks pretty clear now that who finishes 1st and 2nd in this Group will be down to the goal difference achieved against Italy and Russia, and that gives us a chance to take advantage, as winning this Group will give either Germany or Sweden a distinct draw advantage.
Germany are a team in transition, but still a very good one, while Sweden will always be well organised by Pia Sundhage, but struggle for goals against the very top sides. Russia aren't in that bracket, though, and Italy most certainly aren't, and with both Sweden and Germany in the hunt for goals and likely to keep clean sheets, a double on both to win while conceding on the Asian Handicap would seem the most sensible play.
Back a double of Sweden -1 on Asian Handicap v Russia and Germany -2 on Asian Handicap v Italy @ 3.40
Iceland v Switzerland
Live on British Eurosport
Iceland were unfortunate to come unstuck late on against France in their opening game, and they now know that they need to beat Switzerland and Austria to make sure of progression to the last eight. Iceland's approach in their opener was entirely predictable: they set out to spoil, to bully, to frustrate France, and for 85 minutes it worked.
They also showed that they're capable of creativity though, and that was interesting. Iceland can clearly play in two ways, and we might just see the prettier side of their game against Switzerland, who started with a desperately disappointing loss against Austria.
No one will want to play Freyr Alexandersson's Iceland should they make it through, and the Swiss side strikes me as one that will be easily discouraged. Iceland won seven of their eight qualifiers, look outstanding defensively, and if Austria can keep Switzerland out, then Iceland most certainly can.
I think that Iceland will find that little bit of quality that they need, will stop the much-vaunted Ramona Bachmann and co, and will take a step closer to the last eight.
Iceland to beat Switzerland @ 2.90
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