Saturday 7:25pm at SCG
Sydney’s momentum is becoming irrepressible and they can build upon it against a St Kilda team fighting to stay inside the Top 8.
Form
Sydney lost their first six games of the season but have since won nine of 10 including victories in their last six. The Swans are up to sixth on the ladder. Sydney now have the second best defence in the AFL while they rank seventh in scoring. The Swans have conceded 51 or fewer in three of their last six.
St Kilda are out of the eight, down to ninth following their hammering at the hands of Essendon. The Saints had won four straight prior to the 61-point Bombers loss. They are down to ninth on the ladder now. The Saints rank ninth in scoring and 11th in defence. St Kilda have conceded 110 or more in three of their last eight games.
Stats That Matter
– Sydney have won seven straight against St Kilda with the last five wins being by margins of 50-plus.
– The Swans have covered four straight against the Saints.
– Sydney have gone under in 11 of their last 15 at the SCG.
– The Swans have covered 5 of their last 6 at the SCG when favoured by more than four goals.
– Sydney are 13-8 ATS at the SCG after scoring 95 or more points.
– St Kilda are 12-23 ATS interstate since 2012.
– The Saints are 3-7 ATS interstate after scoring 70 or fewer the week prior.
– Sydney are 41-24 under at night.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Sydney 8-8, St Kilda 6-10
2017 Over-Under: Sydney 7-9, St Kilda 7-9
What To Expect
Sydney are just getting better and should have few issues with the wildly inconsistent St Kilda team. The Swans are very reliable as a big favourite at the SCG while the Saints have shown very little interstate, particularly off a poor attacking performance.
How It’s Shaping Up
Sydney by 42
Recommended Bet
Sydney -28.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Lance Franklin has kicked 11 goals in his last three games and has kicked bags of four and six in his last two against the Saints.
Recommended Bet
Lance Franklin 5+ Goals ($2.45)
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