Saturday, August 19, 5:30pm (AEST) at Allianz Stadium, Sydney
The Roosters lost no admirers in their 16-13 loss to the Storm last week, and if anything, it proved that they can go toe-to-toe with the competition favourites. The Roosters have the wood over the Tigers, winning nine straight and have posted at least 30 points in each of those wins. Meanwhile, the Tigers have improved remarkably in the past month or so and are coming off a shock win over the Sea Eagles. Michael Gordon has been named to make his return, shifting Connor Watson to the bench, while for the Tigers, Chris Lawrence returns in the second row.
HistoryThe Roosters have won nine straight against the Tigers and have posted at least 30 in all those wins. The Roosters smashed the Tigers 40-18 earlier in the year at Campbelltown. Mitchell Pearce, Aidan Guerra and Connor Watson each scored a double in the 22-point victory.
FormThe Sydney Roosters have dropped to third on the table following their close loss to Melbourne. The Roosters have now lost their last two after winning 10 of their previous 13. The Roosters have the seventh ranked attack and fourth rated defence. The Wests Tigers are 15th on the ladder but have six wins to their name. The Tigers have won three of their last six and enter this off a big comeback win over Manly. The Tigers enter this off their third biggest attacking performance of the year.
Key MatchupMichael Gordon v James Tedesco: Gordon makes a timely return to the Roosters side and he’ll be taking on the man destined to take the Roosters No.1 jersey in 2018. Gordon has signed on for the 2018 season but will be shifted to a wing or the centres to accommodate Tedesco. Meanwhile, Tedesco has been outstanding for the Tigers since the Origin series wrapped up and was brilliant in the upset win over the Sea Eagles last week, running for 200 metres, setting up two-tries and busting 14 tackles. Teddy scored a try against the Roosters back in Round 14 and will be one of the best players on the field once again.
Stats That Matter– The Sydney Roosters are 11-10 ATS with a 12-9 under number while Wests Tigers are 11-10 ATS with a 14-7 under record.
– The Roosters have won nine straight against the Tigers and have posted at least 30 in all those wins.
– All nine of those victories have been by margins of 14 or more while eight of those totals have topped 40 or more.
– The Roosters are 17-11 under at Allianz as a favourite of more than a converted try.
– The Roosters are 13-9 ATS as a double digit favourite, including a 4-1 ATS record off a loss.
– The Tigers have covered just 2 of their last 7 after scoring 30 points.
– The Roosters have covered 12 of their last 16 after being held to 13 or fewer points.
Final ThoughtsThe Wolf has been impressed with fight of the Tigers of late, especially when they could have easily thrown in the towel. Could Ivan Cleary work miracles in Tigertown in 2018? Unfortunately they come up against their bogey team this week, and to make matters worse, the Roosters are coming off a tight loss to the Storm. The Roosters have a clear class edge and should have no issue covering the big line.
How It’s Shaping UpSydney by 18
Best Bet
Sydney -12.5 ($1.91)
Sydney -12.5 ($1.91)
Other Recommended Bets
1st Tryscorer & 80 Minute Margin Double – Mitchell & Sydney 13+ ($12)
1st Tryscorer & 80 Minute Margin Double – Mitchell & Sydney 13+ ($12)
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