Chicago Fire v Toronto FC
Sunday, 01:00

We were very fortunate to get a winner for this column in the TFC against Portland game last week. The game was goalless heading for the hour mark, and as bad an MLS match as I've seen this season, and then Toronto full back Justin Morrow made sure that it exploded into life, and the game ended with five goals.

I was confident of goals in that one, and am confident again here: if anything, free scoring Toronto are more likely to produce goals away from home than in Canada, with three of the last four on their travels going Over 3.5, and the Chicago Fire have been a team to watch on the goals front, with six of their last eight in MLS going Over 3.5.

There are solid reasons behind the statistics: both teams are under pressure to entertain, both have bundles of quality of attacking players, both sacrifice in the defensive midfield areas to try and create. It might occasionally look silly, but it's ultimately laudable. I'm a little worried that the Fire had a midweek defeat in Montreal and are out again so soon, but they'll be picked up by being back at home and have a great chance of closing the gap at the top of the East. Goals, though, are the call. 

Recommended Bet
Back Over 3.5 Goals in Chicago Fire v TFC @ 2.60

NYCFC v New England Revolution
Sunday, 23:00
Live on Sky Sports Football

Another team that is under pressure to entertain every week is NYCFC and Patrick Vieira's team take on the New England Revolution at Yankee Stadium looking to stay right in the mix at the top of the Eastern Conference.

The Revs scraped a win last week in a surprisingly dull game, but I don't think that this necessarily hints at a change in philosophy by Jay Heaps, more that Vancouver came to defend, and very nearly got a point.

The home team will set the tempo here, and with three of their last four at home going Over 3.5 Goals, that's the mark that we should aim at as well. The two teams have already played out a 2-2 draw here, and I can see the Revs causing NYCFC problems again. Heaps very nearly has a team that could do something in the post season, but is consistently let down by how poor they are defensively.

Vieira will feel that 2017 is his time, and the form of David Villa as well as an improving squad around him might just prove that to be true. I think that NYCFC will win, but it may be harder than expected, and they might once again need multiple goals to get them over the line.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 3.5 Goals in NYCFC v New England Revolution @ 2.20

Sporting KC v FC Dallas
Sunday, 01:30

FC Dallas appear to have lost their mojo completely, and their fans will be hoping that this is a mid-season slump, which will see them heading for the play-offs and looking strong. Dallas were so good for most of last year, but lost players and form at just the wrong time, and faded late, so maybe what's happened in recent weeks is a positive, rather than a worrying sign.

Oscar Pareja's team were a lot better last week in their 0-0 draw against Colorado, and were unfortunate to once again have a Maxi Urruti goal ruled out by the VAR. Their luck must change, and while SKC are very strong at home, I've seen enough in Dallas to think that they can get something this weekend.

The sides have met on three occasions so far this campaign, drawing 0-0 here in MLS and in the US Open Cup (SKC won 3-0 after extra time) and Dallas scraping a 1-0 win at home. That indicates to me that the teams are well matched, and that Dallas can cope better than most with the attritional style favoured by Peter Vermes.

In the end, it comes down to price, and with FC Dallas a little shorter than I had imagined at around 3.60, the better value comes from a bet on Under 2.5 Goals, which, given the teams' meetings so far this season, has every chance.

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Sporting KC v FC Dallas @ 1.80

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