Brentford 2.12 v Bristol City 3.65; The Draw 3.75

As I mentioned prior to Saturday's column, games involving Brentford last season were amongst the most entertaining to watch, averaging 3.7 goals per match. And given the evidence of Saturday's encounter with Nottingham Forest then it's likely that we're in for a repeat.

In a game that they were on top for long spells the Bees somehow managed to lose a seven-goal thriller, going down 4-3 to Forest despite registering 20 shots at goal, nine of which were on target.

After losing two league games on the spin now Dean Smith's side will be desperate to chalk up their first points of the campaign so don't be surprised to see them go all out for the victory at Griffin Park on Tuesday night. So let's back another goalfest as they take on a Bristol City side that have started the season in very entertaining fashion themselves.

Lee Johnson's men went on a fine run of form at the end of last term, winning six of their last 10 games to comfortably avoid the drop, and it seems that has served as a huge confident boost.

The Robins started this campaign with a 3-1 win over Barnsley - about as easy as a win as you'll see all season, it really could have been five or six - before thrashing Plymouth 5-0 in the League Cup. And they really ought to have taken something from St Andrew's on Saturday. Johnson's men led early, dominated possession, registered an incredible 25 shots at goal, yet somehow lost the game 2-1.

Both managers after the game admitted it could have been any scoreline had chances been taken, and that bodes well for the recommended bet. City's first three games this term have averaged exactly four goals per match, and with Brentford coming off that 3-4 defeat then this is a game that really should witness plenty of goals.

Recommended Bets
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.80

Hull 2.74 v Wolves 2.96; The Draw 3.30

Although we don't have the luxury of being able to record - for Profit/Loss purposes - details of any In-Play trades it's worth me reiterating that you should always try to squeeze some profit out of a bet if it looks like it's not going your way.

Take Saturday's game between Derby and Wolves as an example, a game where I recommended backing Over 2.5 Goals at 2.54 simply because the price looked too big. Ultimately the bet was a loser, but despite the game being a slow burner and a glut of goals looking unlikely from an early stage, Over 2.5 Goals traded at odds-on both when Wolves scored their fist, and second goals.

So there was definitely an opportunity there to make a small profit, or at least take back your stake, which is always advisable in some circumstances. Hopefully though, we won't need to rely on trading in-play when Wolves travel to Hull on Tuesday night.

Again, I fancy Over 2.5 Goals is over-priced and I'm happy to back it for the second game running involving Nuno Espirito Santo's men.

Derby boss Garry Rowett was bitterly disappointed with his side's display on Saturday but the Rams still won 10 corners in that game and registered 13 shots at goal, so I'm confident that a Hull side that scored four at the weekend can trouble Wolves here. It's even more encouraging to see that the Tigers had 27 shots at goal in Saturday's win with 11 of them being on target.

Wolves are still a work in progress but you can't fault the start they've had, beating title favourites Middlesbrough and then winning away at Derby is a fantastic boost to their confidence and I think they'll go to the KCOM Stadium with their tails up expecting another positive performance.

Nuno's men are going to concede sooner rather than later and if it happens to be on Tuesday night then I believe Over 2.5 Goals has an excellent chance of landing.

Recommended Bets
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.30

Middlesbrough 1.50 v Burton 9.00; The Draw 4.50

I've watched both of Middlesbrough's first two games of the season and based on what I've seen then it's clear that putting the ball in the back of the net remains a problem.

Garry Monk's men were pretty toothless at Wolves on the opening day of the season, though admittedly they only lost due to a dreadful individual error, and despite playing really well at home to Sheffield United on Saturday they could only muster two shots on target.

It seems ridiculous that a club that was playing Premier League football a few months ago, and has spent upwards of £40m on attackers in 2017, can struggle so much in front of goal, but it's seemingly been like that for over two seasons now.

I'm sure the Boro frontline will find their feet sooner rather than later and start scoring plenty of goals, but until they do I won't be in a rush to back Over 2.5 Goals at odds-on prices like that option is here.

But what we do know about Monk's men is that they are possibly they best defensive side in the Championship. Middlesbrough had by far the best defensive record at this level during their promotion campaign the season before last, and the likes of Ben Gibson, Daniel Ayala (when he played), and George Friend amongst others, didn't look out of place in the Premier League last term, having one of the best defensive records outside of the top six.

This is a game that the title favourites really should be winning given Burton are currently rock bottom of the early Championship table following two straight defeats, but I never back at 1.50 in this division, in fact it's probably the quickest way to the poor house.

But I do like the 10/11 on the Sportsbook about Boro recording their second consecutive clean sheet at the Riverside Stadium. The Brewers drew a blank in their opening-day defeat to Cardiff, and although they did score at Hull on Saturday in a game they lost 4-1 it's unlikely that they've faced a defence as strong as Middlesbrough's in those two league outings.

Recommended Bet
Back Middlesbrough Clean Sheet @ 10/11


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