Wolves 2.04 v Cardiff 4.10; The Draw 3.65
You can't fault the start Wolves have had to this season's Championship. Three games played, three wins and six goals scored is impressive enough, but when you consider that two of those games were away from home, and that they've faced pre-season title favourites Middlesbrough, recently relegated Hull, and a fancied Derby side, then it becomes a dream start for the West Midlands outfit.
It's a start that has also elevated Wolves to the head of the Championship Winner market - now available to back at 3.60, just ahead of Middlesbrough at 6.40 - and yet we can back Nuno Espírito Santo's men, on home soil, at a slightly odds-against price against one of the clubs fancied to struggle this term.
Okay, that's a slightly manipulated way of dismissing Cardiff's chances as the Bluebirds - matched at a high of 55.00 to win the title - actually top the early-season table following three straight wins of their own, all without conceding.
But Neil Warnock's men have faced rock bottom and relegation favourites Burton, and a Sheffield United side that were promoted from League Two last term; a far cry from the calibre of teams that Wolves have been defeating. True, a 3-0 thrashing of Aston Villa was very impressive, but it may turn out that Villa will once again be a team that struggles to challenge for the play-offs.
Still, you can't knock Cardiff's start either, but given that Wolves have home advantage, and the confidence they must have given the victories they've achieved, then as title favourites I think they deserve to be a slightly shorter price in the Match Odds than they actually are to win this game.
I took the view that it might take Wolves a few months to settle down given the number of summer signings they've made but it's been the complete opposite, and £15.8m man Ruben Neves - who scored a sensational goal in midweek - is already showing exactly why he's the Championship's record signing.
A home win looks just about the best bet in the Championship on Saturday afternoon.
Recommended Bets
Back Wolves to Win @ 2.04 (best bet)
It's a start that has also elevated Wolves to the head of the Championship Winner market - now available to back at 3.60, just ahead of Middlesbrough at 6.40 - and yet we can back Nuno Espírito Santo's men, on home soil, at a slightly odds-against price against one of the clubs fancied to struggle this term.
Okay, that's a slightly manipulated way of dismissing Cardiff's chances as the Bluebirds - matched at a high of 55.00 to win the title - actually top the early-season table following three straight wins of their own, all without conceding.
But Neil Warnock's men have faced rock bottom and relegation favourites Burton, and a Sheffield United side that were promoted from League Two last term; a far cry from the calibre of teams that Wolves have been defeating. True, a 3-0 thrashing of Aston Villa was very impressive, but it may turn out that Villa will once again be a team that struggles to challenge for the play-offs.
Still, you can't knock Cardiff's start either, but given that Wolves have home advantage, and the confidence they must have given the victories they've achieved, then as title favourites I think they deserve to be a slightly shorter price in the Match Odds than they actually are to win this game.
I took the view that it might take Wolves a few months to settle down given the number of summer signings they've made but it's been the complete opposite, and £15.8m man Ruben Neves - who scored a sensational goal in midweek - is already showing exactly why he's the Championship's record signing.
A home win looks just about the best bet in the Championship on Saturday afternoon.
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Back Wolves to Win @ 2.04 (best bet)
Bristol City 2.00 v Millwall 4.10; The Draw 3.70
The goal involvement standings for teams in the Championship (goals scored plus goals conceded) currently reads; 12 - Brentford, Hull, 11 - Bristol City, Ipswich, Nottm Forest, 10 - Millwall, Barnsley. It's an embryonic list of course, but as the weeks go by it's very much worth taking notice of if you're a big fan of Overs/Unders markets.
Four of those seven clubs listed are in opposition on Saturday afternoon, so you won't be surprised to learn that I'm backing goals when Bristol City host Millwall and when Brentford travel to Ipswich.
I mentioned last season - when they were in a poor run of form actually - that games involving the Robins had huge potential to go high on the goals lines. And they did generally. Lee Johnson's men were conceding goals for fun but they were excellent at counter attacking and were usually good for a goal or two themselves.
As the season concluded Bristol City tightened up defensively to a certain extent and went on an excellent run of form to avoid relegation. They've started this season very much how you could sum them up last season - capable of scoring plenty at one end, but always likely to concede at the other. Their four games this term have finished 3-1, 5-0, 2-1, and 2-2. That's an average of exactly four goals per game.
Millwall have performed with enormous credit so far and have arguably been the better side in all three of their league games, yet they have just a solitary point for their efforts, which is extremely concerning. They led early against Ipswich in midweek, fought back from 1-2 down and 2-3 down, then lost 3-4 in the dying minutes.
It all suggests that this game should be an absolute cracker. City will do what they do best; get at the opposition, and with a Lions defence that has conceded six goals in three league games you have to fancy Johnson's men to score a few. But Millwall will be a threat at the other end too and it's easy to envisage a goal-filled game.
Recommended Bets
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 3.30
Four of those seven clubs listed are in opposition on Saturday afternoon, so you won't be surprised to learn that I'm backing goals when Bristol City host Millwall and when Brentford travel to Ipswich.
I mentioned last season - when they were in a poor run of form actually - that games involving the Robins had huge potential to go high on the goals lines. And they did generally. Lee Johnson's men were conceding goals for fun but they were excellent at counter attacking and were usually good for a goal or two themselves.
As the season concluded Bristol City tightened up defensively to a certain extent and went on an excellent run of form to avoid relegation. They've started this season very much how you could sum them up last season - capable of scoring plenty at one end, but always likely to concede at the other. Their four games this term have finished 3-1, 5-0, 2-1, and 2-2. That's an average of exactly four goals per game.
Millwall have performed with enormous credit so far and have arguably been the better side in all three of their league games, yet they have just a solitary point for their efforts, which is extremely concerning. They led early against Ipswich in midweek, fought back from 1-2 down and 2-3 down, then lost 3-4 in the dying minutes.
It all suggests that this game should be an absolute cracker. City will do what they do best; get at the opposition, and with a Lions defence that has conceded six goals in three league games you have to fancy Johnson's men to score a few. But Millwall will be a threat at the other end too and it's easy to envisage a goal-filled game.
Recommended Bets
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 3.30
Ipswich 2.92 v Brentford 2.54; The Draw 3.70
First off, I'm absolutely amazed that Brentford are trading as quite strong favourites in the Match Odds market. They're away from home, have taken just a single point from nine available, can't stop conceding goals, and they're facing a team with a 100% win record.
You'd think then that I'd be putting up Ipswich as the bet. I'm not, but I certainly wouldn't put anyone off backing them at the price. They've won four out of four in all competitions and averaged over two goals scored per game, so confidence must be sky high at Portman Road.
But I just think it's too early in the season to say that this team are in sparkling form and that team are in poor form etc, and if pricing this match up on season expectations - which I think the market has here - then the odds are just about right. I'm just extremely surprised that the market doesn't appear to have taken into account those early season results.
But in a nutshell, the bet I fancy is goals. I recommended Over 3.5 Goals in Brentford's game against Nottm Forest last week and it finished 3-4. I then repeated the bet in midweek when the Bees hosted Bristol City, and that game ended 2-2. So why change something when it's not broken?
Brentford's last three games have witnessed 15 goals, which is exactly five per game on average, and remember this is a team that were involved in more goals than any other Championship club last season. On Saturday they face an Ipswich side that won 4-3 in midweek, showing that they can score goals themselves as well as concede to clubs expected to be in and around the relegation zone.
As was the case in midweek, Dean Smith's men will be desperate to get the win that will kick-start their campaign, and they're facing a team high on confidence. It should result in another goalfest.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.90
You'd think then that I'd be putting up Ipswich as the bet. I'm not, but I certainly wouldn't put anyone off backing them at the price. They've won four out of four in all competitions and averaged over two goals scored per game, so confidence must be sky high at Portman Road.
But I just think it's too early in the season to say that this team are in sparkling form and that team are in poor form etc, and if pricing this match up on season expectations - which I think the market has here - then the odds are just about right. I'm just extremely surprised that the market doesn't appear to have taken into account those early season results.
But in a nutshell, the bet I fancy is goals. I recommended Over 3.5 Goals in Brentford's game against Nottm Forest last week and it finished 3-4. I then repeated the bet in midweek when the Bees hosted Bristol City, and that game ended 2-2. So why change something when it's not broken?
Brentford's last three games have witnessed 15 goals, which is exactly five per game on average, and remember this is a team that were involved in more goals than any other Championship club last season. On Saturday they face an Ipswich side that won 4-3 in midweek, showing that they can score goals themselves as well as concede to clubs expected to be in and around the relegation zone.
As was the case in midweek, Dean Smith's men will be desperate to get the win that will kick-start their campaign, and they're facing a team high on confidence. It should result in another goalfest.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.90
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