AFL Preview: Cats v Giants

Cats v Giants
Saturday 7:25pm at Simonds Stadium

Second and third square off with a home final in week one of the finals the reward when the Cats and Giants go at it in a monster battle.

FormGeelong sit third on the ladder with a 14-6-1 record. The Cats rank third in scoring and sixth in defence. The Cats have lost just three of their last 13 and enter this off back-to-back wins against Richmond and Collingwood. Geelong have been kept to 80 or fewer in four of their last five.

GWS sit second on the ladder and can go top with a win and an Adelaide loss. The Giants rank fifth in both scoring and defence. GWS have won four straight with their last three wins all being by margins greater than 20. GWS have kept opponents to 64 or fewer in four of their last five.

Stats That Matter

• Geelong have lost just one of seven all-time matches against GWS
• GWS have covered 5 of the 7 clashes with the Cats
• The under has hit in 4 of the last 5 Cats-Giants clashes
• Geelong have covered 6 of their last 9 at Simonds
• The Cats are 8-4 ATS as a favourite of less than three goals at Simonds
• The Cats are 9-5 ATS with a 10-4 over record at Simonds after conceding 70 or fewer
• GWS have covered six straight as an interstate outsider
• GWS have covered just 2 of their last 7 interstate night games with a 6-1 under record

Betting Data2017 Line: Geelong 10-11, GWS 8-13
2017 Over-Under: Geelong 10-11, GWS 11-10

What To ExpectAn absolute cracking game and the Cats look to have a slight edge here. It is hard to go past them at home and they have a stunning record as a small favourite at Simonds. GWS travel well but night football doesn’t suit their style.

How It’s Shaping UpGeelong by 8

Recommended Bet
Geelong -2.5 ($1.90)

Player MarketsPatrick Dangerfield has hit 130 in five of his last seven games and hit 142 the last time the teams met.

Recommended Bet
Patrick Dangerfield 130+ Fantasy Points ($2.25)