Saturday, August 26, 3pm (AEST) at Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
The Titans sacked coach Neil Henry during the week and will be looking for a big response against the Bulldogs. Des Hasler’s men are coming off a morale-boosting win over the Sea Eagles and will fancy their chances of an upset win over the Gold Coast. Titans enforcer Ryan James is out for this clash, while the Bulldogs have named an unchanged side.
HistoryThe Titans have won four of the last six clashes against the Bulldogs, although the Bulldogs have won the last two. The Bulldogs won last year’s clash 21-20 with Josh Reynolds kicking the match-winning field goal.
FormGold Coast are in absolute freefall with five straight losses consigning them to 14th on the premiership ladder. They have conceded 176 points in those five matches and scored just 44 themselves. Their last two home games have been a combined defeat of 80-4. Canterbury ended a four-game losing streak with an impressive 30-16 win over Manly on Sunday, posting their highest score of the season. The Bulldogs have not won two straight since Rounds 6-7 and have not won out of NSW since Round 3.
Key MatchupJarryd Hayne v Will Hopoate: Hayne has been hammered from pillar to post about his role in the sacking of former coach Neil Henry and he needs to respond with a big performance. Hopoate was excellent against the Sea Eagles last week, running for 177 metres and setting up three tries. Hayne will get all the publicity this week, while Hoppa will outperform him on Saturday afternoon.
Stats That Matter– Gold Coast are 9-13 ATS with a 14-8 over record while Canterbury are 10-12 ATS with a 16-6 under record.
– Canterbury have won the last two against the Titans but have never won three straight.
– The Titans are 4-1 all-time v the Bulldogs at Skilled.
– The last seven meetings have all topped 37 points.
– Canterbury are 17-29 ATS away from ANZ since 2014 (including three covers in their last 18) with a 31-15 under record.
– The Bulldogs have covered just 1 of their last 11 away from ANZ after scoring more than 25 points.
– Canterbury are 13-5 under interstate since 2014, failing to cover their last six.
– The Titans have covered just four of their last 13 home matches.
– Gold Coast are 8-4 ATS at home after conceding 30 or more points.
– Gold Coast are 5-12 ATS as a home favourite including a 1-8 ATS record as a home favourite of 4 or less.
– The Titans have covered just 1 of their last 6 home day games.
Final ThoughtsThe Bulldogs look the value bet as outsiders here. They’re coming off a strong win over the Sea Eagles, while the Titans are a basket case after sacking Neil Henry during the week. Ryan James is a big out for the home side and The Wolf can’t ignore the Bulldogs with the 3.5 start.
How It’s Shaping UpCanterbury by 4
Best Bet
Canterbury +3.5 ($1.91)
Canterbury +3.5 ($1.91)
Other Recommended Bets
Under 42.5 ($1.88)
Under 42.5 ($1.88)
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