AFL Preview: Lions v Kangaroos

Brisbane v North Melbourne
Saturday 2:10pm at The Gabba

Last hosts second-last in a battle for the wooden spoon to close out a disappointing season for both the Lions and the Kangaroos.

FormBrisbane sit last on the ladder but only on percentage. They have the worst defence in the AFL but rank 13^th in scoring. The Lions have been good over the last five weeks with two wins and two losses by 14 or less. Brisbane have posted at least 89 in four of their last five games.

North Melbourne have won just one of their last 11 matches and have conceded at least 107 points in seven of their last nine outings. They have just five wins for the season and rank 10^th in scoring and 17^th in defence. North have failed to post 80 in four of their last six.

Stats That Matter

• North have won 7 of the last 9 against Brisbane including the last three by five goals or more
• North have covered 4 of the last 5 clashes against the Lions
• The Lions are 30-35 ATS at the Gabba since 2012 but have covered their last three
• The over has hit in 11 of the last 12 games the Lions were favoured at the Gabba
• Brisbane are 8-7 ATS as a favourite at the Gabba
• Brisbane are 12-7 over at the Gabba after scoring 90 points
• The Kangaroos have covered just 4 of their last 11 interstate games
• North are 10-5 over interstate after conceding 110 or more points

Betting Data2017 Line: Brisbane 13-8, North Melbourne 8-13
2017 Over-Under: Brisbane 12-9, North Melbourne 12-9

What To ExpectThe wooden spoon is on the line and The Wolf is expecting a shootout between two defensively deficient teams. The Lions and Kangaroos leak plenty of points and Brisbane are actually in good scoring form. The total looks way too low.

How It’s Shaping UpBrisbane by 10

Recommended Bet
Over 200.5 ($1.90)

Player MarketsDayne Beams has posted 130 or more in four of his last five and is going to fill up against the worst defence he has played in 2017.

Recommended Bet
Dayne Beams 130+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)