NRL PreviewWests Tigers v North Queensland Cowboys
Friday, August 25, 7:50pm (AEST) at Campbelltown Stadium

The Tigers almost pulled off the upset of the season last week when they led the Roosters 18-16 with 8 minutes to go. Unfortunately for the Tigers, a Latrell Mitchell try got the Roosters home 22-18. Despite their position on the ladder, the Tigers have played better football than some of the sides above them. The Cowboys have been hit hard by injuries and were very gallant in defeat against the Sharks last week. They currently sit in 7th position and this shapes up as their grand final if they have aspirations of playing finals football, with a Round 26 clash against the high-flying Broncos to come. Kalyn Ponga and John Asiata have been added to the Cowboys ever-growing injury list, but they could get Lachlan Coote and Gavin Cooper back for the clash against the Tigers.
HistoryThe Tigers have won 12 of the last 17 clashes against the Cowboys. The Tigers won the Round 6 clash in Townsville 26-16, with Cowboys wrecking ball Coen Hess scoring a double off the bench in a beaten side.
FormWests Tigers have been playing in great heart despite their second last standing due to their 6-16 record. The Tigers have won three of their last seven and enter this off a close loss to the Sydney Roosters. North Queensland are down to seventh on the ladder following four straight losses where they have conceded at least 22 points in each. All four of those defeats have come against Top 8 teams. The Cowboys have been kept to 16 or fewer in their last four.
Stats That Matter– Wests Tigers are 12-10 ATS with a 15-7 under record while North Queensland are 14-8 ATS with a 14-8 under record.
– The Tigers have a great record against the Cowboys, winning 12 of the last 17.
– Nine of the last 11 matches have all topped 40 points.
– The Tigers are 4-11 ATS at Campbelltown since 2014, failing to cover their last six.
– The under has hit in four of the last five at Campbelltown.
– The Tigers are 4-11 ATS with a 10-5 under record when a favourite since 2014.
– The Cowboys are 27-19 ATS interstate since 2014.
– Interstate underdogs of 3.5 or less cover at 70% since 2014 with a 59% under rate.
– The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS interstate after conceding 26 points.
– The Tigers have covered and gone under in six of their last seven.
– The Tigers have covered 11 of their last 15 at night.
Final ThoughtsThe Wolf tossed and turned on this game, but finally settled on the Cowboys. The main reason is that they simply have more to play for, with their Top 8 position in jeopardy if they suffer a loss here. The Tigers put in a huge effort against the Roosters for no result and could come out flat here. The Wolf is very wary of the “Teddy” factor in his final game at Campbelltown as a Tiger, but the Cowboys will find a way to grind out a result with their season on the line.
How It’s Shaping UpNorth Queensland by 2
Best Bet
North Queensland 1-12 ($3.20)

Other Recommended Bets
Under 39.5 ($1.88)

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