Sunday 3:20pm at MCG
A mammoth game for the final round with Richmond fighting for a Top 4 spot and St Kilda needing to win to be any chance of playing finals footy.
FormRichmond sit fourth on the ladder with a 14-7 record but almost certainly need to win this to remain in the Top 4. The Tigers rank second in defence while they have moved up to eighth in scoring following their 155-51 win over Fremantle last week. The Tigers have won 9 of their last 12 and kept opponents to 66 or fewer in eight of those.
St Kilda have won two of their last three and sit just outside the Top 8 in 10th position. They are currently outside the Top 8 on percentage only. The Saints rank 12th in scoring and 10th in defence. St Kilda have been held to 72 or fewer in four of their last six.
Stats That Matter
– St Kilda have won the last two matches against Richmond including a 67-point thumping in Round 16.
– The Saints have covered four straight against the Tigers.
– The under has hit in 5 of the last 7 Tigers-Saints games.
– Richmond are 48-30 under at the MCG while St Kilda are 10-6 under at the MCG.
– Richmond are 11-23 ATS as a favourite of more than two goals at the MCG (22-12 under).
– St Kilda are 30-18 under in Melbourne as an underdog of more than two goals.
– The Tigers are 11-4 under in Melbourne after keeping an opponent to under 60 points.
– The under is 9-3 after the Tigers score 120 or more points.
– The Saints have covered four straight against the Tigers.
– The under has hit in 5 of the last 7 Tigers-Saints games.
– Richmond are 48-30 under at the MCG while St Kilda are 10-6 under at the MCG.
– Richmond are 11-23 ATS as a favourite of more than two goals at the MCG (22-12 under).
– St Kilda are 30-18 under in Melbourne as an underdog of more than two goals.
– The Tigers are 11-4 under in Melbourne after keeping an opponent to under 60 points.
– The under is 9-3 after the Tigers score 120 or more points.
Betting Data2017 Line: Richmond 15-6, St Kilda 9-12
2017 Over-Under: Richmond 6-15, St Kilda 9-12
2017 Over-Under: Richmond 6-15, St Kilda 9-12
What To ExpectThe top total of the week is without question the under in this game. The Tigers have some huge under angles at play here while the Saints are a big under team as a notable outsider in Melbourne. St Kilda’s runaway win in their last meeting and the enormity of this game should see defence reign supreme.
How It’s Shaping UpRichmond by 15
Recommended Bet
Under 169.5 points ($1.91)
Under 169.5 points ($1.91)
Player MarketsSeb Ross has posted 110 points or more on nine occasions this year and had a season-high 134 when they last met the Tigers.
Recommended Bet
Seb Ross 110+ Fantasy Points ($2.40)
Seb Ross 110+ Fantasy Points ($2.40)
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