NRL PreviewNew Zealand Warriors v Manly Sea Eagles
Sunday, August 27, 2pm (AEST) at Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland

The Sea Eagles are in a horrible slump and must win this clash if they have aspirations of playing finals football. The Warriors have been boosted by the shock return of Shaun Johnson, but surely the Sea Eagles win this one with their season on the line.
HistoryThe Sea Eagles have won six straight and 15 of their last 17 against the Warriors. The Sea Eagles won 26-22 in Round 17 at Perth, with Tom Trbojevic and Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad scoring doubles.
FormThe Warriors have seemingly given up the ghost on another season with a seventh straight loss that has left them in 13th on the ladder with a 7-15 record. New Zealand have conceded at least 24 points in each of their last seven, a run in which they have played just one Top 4 team. The Warriors rank 13th in both scoring and defence. Manly are all over the shop at present, entering this off back-to-back losses against the Wests Tigers and Canterbury, allowing the Bulldogs to score 30 points for the first time this season. The Eagles have conceded at least 30 in four of their last five. The Eagles are down to eighth on the ladder with a 12-10 record.
Key MatchupRoger Tuivasa-Sheck v Tom Trbojevic: Tuivasa Sheck hasn’t recaptured the form he displayed at the Roosters, but the signs of late have been positive. He was excellent in last week’s loss to the Rabbitohs, running for 231 metres and scoring a double. Meanwhile, Trbojevic is one of the best young fullbacks in the game and will play plenty of representative football. He scored two tries against the Warriors in Perth earlier in the season and will produce a big performance in Auckland this weekend.
Stats That Matter– New Zealand are 7-15 ATS with a 12-10 over record while Manly are 10-12 ATS with a 13-9 over record.
– Manly have won six straight and 15 of their last 17 against the Warriors.
– Three of the last four matches have all topped 44 points.
– Manly have failed to cover their last six away from Brookvale and are 4-14 ATS as a favourite away from the ground in their last 18.
– Manly are 0-5 ATS as an interstate favourite of 6.5 or more this year.
– The Warriors are 17-23 ATS at Mt Smart since 2014 including a 4-7 ATS record when an underdog.
– New Zealand have covered just 2 of 7 at Mt Smart as an underdog of 6 or more, losing five by margins of 20 or more.
– Since 2014, the Warriors are 2-11 ATS with an 8-5 over record at Mt Smart in Rounds 20-26 with an overall cover record of 6-20.
– Since 2012, the Warriors are 9-31 ATS in the final seven rounds of the year.
– Manly are 15-9 ATS after conceding 30 or more points.
Final ThoughtsThe Wolf can’t see the Sea Eagles letting this one slide despite recent losses to the Tigers and Bulldogs. They’ve got a strong record over the Warriors and will be hard to beat with their season potentially on the line.
How It’s Shaping UpManly by 10
Best Bet
Manly -5.5 ($1.91)

Other Recommended Bets
Over 42.5 ($1.88)

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