Sunday, August 27, 2pm (AEST) at Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland
Key MatchupRoger Tuivasa-Sheck v Tom Trbojevic: Tuivasa Sheck hasn’t recaptured the form he displayed at the Roosters, but the signs of late have been positive. He was excellent in last week’s loss to the Rabbitohs, running for 231 metres and scoring a double. Meanwhile, Trbojevic is one of the best young fullbacks in the game and will play plenty of representative football. He scored two tries against the Warriors in Perth earlier in the season and will produce a big performance in Auckland this weekend.
Stats That Matter– New Zealand are 7-15 ATS with a 12-10 over record while Manly are 10-12 ATS with a 13-9 over record.
– Manly have won six straight and 15 of their last 17 against the Warriors.
– Three of the last four matches have all topped 44 points.
– Manly have failed to cover their last six away from Brookvale and are 4-14 ATS as a favourite away from the ground in their last 18.
– Manly are 0-5 ATS as an interstate favourite of 6.5 or more this year.
– The Warriors are 17-23 ATS at Mt Smart since 2014 including a 4-7 ATS record when an underdog.
– New Zealand have covered just 2 of 7 at Mt Smart as an underdog of 6 or more, losing five by margins of 20 or more.
– Since 2014, the Warriors are 2-11 ATS with an 8-5 over record at Mt Smart in Rounds 20-26 with an overall cover record of 6-20.
– Since 2012, the Warriors are 9-31 ATS in the final seven rounds of the year.
– Manly are 15-9 ATS after conceding 30 or more points.
Final ThoughtsThe Wolf can’t see the Sea Eagles letting this one slide despite recent losses to the Tigers and Bulldogs. They’ve got a strong record over the Warriors and will be hard to beat with their season potentially on the line.
How It’s Shaping UpManly by 10
Best Bet
Manly -5.5 ($1.91)
Manly -5.5 ($1.91)
Other Recommended Bets
Over 42.5 ($1.88)
Over 42.5 ($1.88)
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