AFL Preview: Suns v Kangaroos

Gold Coast v Nth Melbourne
Saturday 4:35pm at Metricon Stadium

The Suns and North are both stuck down the bottom of the AFL ladder and know any fading hopes they have for the season require a win here.

Form
Gold Coast are 14th on the ladder with a 5-8 record. They have dropped their last two against Carlton and St Kilda and have won just three of their last nine. The Suns have not posted 100 since their Round 7 win over Geelong. They rate 10th in attack but have the second worst defence in the AFL conceding 102.1 points per game.

North Melbourne are second last on the ladder with a 4-9 record. They rate seventh in scoring but a lowly 15th in defence. The Roos have dropped their last three, going down to defending premiers the Western Bulldogs by a point. North have kicked 100-plus in five of their last eight games.

Stats That Matter

– North Melbourne have won 5 of the 8 all-time matches with Gold Coast.
– Gold Coast have covered 6 of the last 7 clashes.
– The over has hit in 5 of the last 7 Suns-Kangaroos clashes.
– The over is 13-5 when the Suns are favoured at Metricon Stadium.
– The Suns have covered just 1 of their last 5 as a favourite at Metricon Stadium.
– Gold Coast are 22-14 ATS at Metricon after conceding 100 or more points.
– North are 8-4 under as an interstate underdog of 18 or less.
– North Melbourne are 15-8 over interstate off scoring 100 points.

Betting Data
2017 Line: Gold Coast 7-6, North Melbourne 6-7
2017 Over-Under: Gold Coast 7-6, North Melbourne 8-5

What To Expect
Gold Coast and North Melbourne should be playing a fairly expansive game here making the over a top bet. The angles are all in play here for the over. It has hit in 13 of the last 18 times the Suns have been favoured at home and 15 of the last 23 times the Roos have been interstate after scoring 100 points.

How It’s Shaping Up
Gold Coast by 13

Recommended Bet
Over 190.5 points ($1.88)

Player Markets
Gary Ablett has been in scintillating ball-getting form of late with 32-plus disposals in seven of his last nine including four hauls of 35-plus.

Recommended Bet
Gary Ablett 35+ Disposals ($2.25)