The tournament has come to an end for the Socceroos who would need a miracle to progress – starting with a win over Chile. That will not be happening according to The Wolf who has Mexico, Portugal, Chile and Germany progressing to the semi’s. He breaks down the final round of group games.

Group A

Mexico v Russia – Sun 1:00am AEST

This is the pivotal match in Group A with host nation Russia finding themselves in a must win match. Mexico’s come from behind win over New Zealand means that a draw will be enough to see them through to the semi finals. With Portugal expected to account for New Zealand it means that Russia need to grab all 3 points. The Wolf though cannot see it happening. Russia were unable to establish any sort of stronghold in central midfield against Portugal while Mexico failed to convert on a number of chances against NZ. Mexico will have the advantage of being well rested after they made 8 changes for the clash with NZ. Chicharito, Carlos Vela and Jiminez will all be back in the starting XI and they will have plenty of opportunities to pounce on the counter with the hosts set to really press up the field. Mexico have scored multiple goals in 4 of their last 5 matches and if they can get one early The Wolf feels that they could really go on with this one. Ideally, they would like to avoid Chile in the semi’s – especially after the 7-0 loss at the Copa America last year. Mexico 2-0.

Best: Mexico WIN ($2.40)
Value: Teams To Score – Mexico Only ($4.00)

New Zealand v Portugal – Sun 1:00am AEST

Goal difference may well be the determining factor in which nation tips the group – provided that Mexico and Portugal both come out on top. Unlike Mexico, The Wolf feels that Portugal will not be bothered by whom they play in the semi. A draw would be enough to get them through and The Wolf says not to be surprised if they rest a couple of players. No disrespect to NZ as they dug deep against Mexico but that was with Mexico resting more than a handful of players. As we saw at the Euro’s Portugal are very difficult to break down. Pepe and Bruno Alves have been excellent at the back with Cedric and Bernado Silva forming a great combination down the right. The Wolf is expecting Portugal to take the lead at some point in the first half and go on to register their 4th clean sheet in their last 5. The European Champions will dominate from in front and really kill the game. New Zealand have now gone 23 games without conceding more than twice and The Wolf says although not good enough to win here, they will not be embarrassed.
Best: Under 3.5 goals ($1.72)
Value: Portugal 2-0 ($6.50)

Group B

Chile v Australia – Mon 1:00am AEST

It has been a month to forget for the Socceroos. They have now won just 2 of their last 9 matches – maintaining just the lone clean sheet in that stretch. They were lucky to say the least against Cameroon with the Africans missing a handful of genuine goal scoring opportunities. The back three of the Socceroos were exposed yet again. Gersbach and Juric were the best Aussie on ground but The Wolf was very disappointed with Leckie and Kruse. Look for Vidal, Diaz and Hernandez to take complete control of this one and it could get ugly for the Socceroos. Chile were clearly playing for the draw against Germany and a big win here would allow them to top the group. Chile have won the last 4 encounters between the two nations including a dominant 3-1 win in their most recent meeting at the 2014 World Cup. That result came against a much stronger Socceroos outfit and lets not forget what Chile have done since – winning the Copa America and becoming the 4th ranked nation in the world. Couldn’t have a cent on the Socceroos.

Best: HT/FT – Chile/Chile ($1.90)
Value: Teams To Score – Chile Only ($2.20)

Germany v Cameroon – Mon 1:00am AEST

This young German side has been complacent at times at the back and The Wolf says it will be their weakness moving forward. We have seen both Australia and Chile capitalise on errors and Cameroon would be silly not to press them up the pitch. They will get the chance to do so with their three pronged attack but will they finish their opportunities… Had it not been for poor finishing they would have beaten Australia but Moukandjo, Aboubakar and Bassogog won’t sit on their hands in this one. Look for them to really press Mustafi and Ginter up the field. With Draxler and Goretzka in the middle they will not be winning the midfield battle and The Wolf expects Cameroon to alternate between pressing and sitting deep to play on the counter. Stindl is likely to get on the score sheet again but The Wolf believes they will need more than one goal to win this one. Both teams to score with Germany to grab all 3 points. Top spot in Group B will come down to goal difference.

Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.80)
Value: 1st Half Over 1.5 goals ($2.30)

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