Both of these teams have served the column well in recent weeks, and the Shewsbury price is more than fair considering they are top of the table and remain unbeaten after ten games.
I like to take my first instinct to a fixture and then deal with the price. The gut feeling initially was the Under 2.5 Goals - but it's a touch on the short side at 1.67 and I am not surprised by that at all.
Shrewsbury have conceded just three in five games on home soil this term, whilst Scunthorpe have conceded just the once in the same amount of matches away. These are two good defences, and the 1.67 on offer could be pushed further.
Both endured different sorts of games on Tuesday. Salop made four changes and went more attacking with a 4-2-3-1 plus width at Doncaster - and they won 2-1 with a 94th minute goal (thanks by the way Arthur). Scunthorpe meanwhile were embroiled in a drab old affair at Gillingham, with the Kent side parking ten men behind the ball - and those matches are never easy.
The hosts play with plenty of energy with their pressing game and quick tempo. Manager Paul Hurst produced a canny card in resting a couple of players with Saturday in mind. He's making all the right calls at the moment.
I am tempted by the Draw No Bet for Shrewsbury, but my choice is the Under 1.5 at 2.90, as Scunthorpe's tally on that front this term has been six from ten and they have a rock-solid defence. Town also show a penchant for winning by the odd goal - and I made that point for Tuesday's preview.
The other bet is the outright Draw. It's hard to split two very good sides, and the Iron have been involved in two 0-0s and a pair of 1-1s.
Recommended Bets
Back The Draw 0.5pt @ 3.30
Back Under 1.5 Goals 0.5pt @ 2.90
Portsmouth 1.54 v Oldham Athletic 6.60, the draw 4.20
The wild inconsistency of League One was displayed with bells and glitter on Tuesday night; with not only Bradford's home defeat to Fleetwood, but the shock of Oldham netting a 3-2 success against Peterborough. I was gutted with the Bantams result, but crumbs of comfort came in the form of the Over 2.5 bet with the Latics - and I was pleased to get out of the night with a small profit.
We go again with the BTTS on Oldham.
John Sheridan departed from Boundary Park on Monday, and it was caretaker boss Richie Wellens who galvanised the team to pick up a remarkable three points. The line of "old man out, new man in" was trotted out. I don't know the stats for that scenario and how successful it is. Maybe it's one of those cliches that we only recognise when it's successful (think outsider of three for horses).
But in Oldham we should trust to score. Away from home they are five from five on the BTTS, and have scored 13 on the road. Their tempo was certainly more sprightly on Tuesday night - but they've always been able to score this season despite their awful position.
Pompey seem to be hitting the groove at home. Tuesday's win (played out in front of a remarkable crowd of over 17,000) came courtesy of a 3-0 success against an out-of-form Bristol Rovers. But Kenny Jackett's side are now W3 D1 L1 at Fratton Park; scoring ten in the process.
Jackett has been talking about consistency this week; and this has to be game to view as one they should pick up three points from, so there's no point in setting up to play for a 0-0. That's a scenario that rarely gets mentioned with the visitors, who have the worst defence in the division with 25 goals conceded.
The price of the Both Teams To Score at 1.86 is bigger than I expected, so we'll attempt another Oldham special.
Recommended Bet
Back Both Teams To Score 0.5pt @ 1.86
AFC Wimbledon 2.52 v Rochdale 2.94, the draw 3.35
Wimbledon's lack of goals is becoming a worry, and Rochdale will see this as a game they could potentially nick on the counter-attack. With the visitors priced up at 2.94, they will have their takers. Although, like many at this level, consistency is not the strong point for Keith Hill's men, and I would personally like a bit bigger than 2/1.
And that's why the bet on the away side is slightly tempered. They were held at Blackpool on Tuesday night in a 0-0, a match in which their attacking play broke down time-after-time. They've only scored four on their travels too.
Any fixture with the Dons at the moment has got to spark an interest in a dart at low-scoring markets. They've netted just 13 in their last 18 league matches and have scored just three times at Kingsmeadow this season. With three home blanks from five in London too, Hill will play on that and make sure his side are nice, compact and organised.
The South London Press remarked that Neal Ardley's men are not lacking in guts, grit and gumption. They are a strong and physical outfit. However, they are the lowest scorers in the division with just five this term.
The Under 2.5 is a fairly obvious call here at 1.84, with every single Wimbledon match this season hitting that particular target. Wimbledon have only scored once in their last three matches, and I expect a game of few chances here.
Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals 0.5pt @ 1.84
0 nhận xét Blogger 0 Facebook
Post a Comment