European Football Tips: Spotlight on Milan Derby and Bundesliga, LaLiga match-ups

Germany Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich
Saturday, April 15, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 5.10 Draw 4.20 Away 1.73
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 5.30 Draw 4.40 Away 1.76
Fair Value Odds - Home 6.80 Draw 4.50 Away 1.58

Bayern Munich scores a 9 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.09 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.13. Offering now at 0.75 of FV, punters might consider laying Bayer Leverkusen. League's dominant team should have little trouble with slumping Leverkusen.

Recommendation: Back Bayern Munich above fair value

Germany Bundesliga
Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt
Saturday, April 15, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.46 Draw 4.60 Away 8.40
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 1.48 Draw 4.90 Away 9.40
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.33 Draw [5.95] Away 12.00

Dortmund scores a 9 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.1 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.11. Offering now at 0.7 of FV, punters might consider laying Eintracht Frankfurt. Dortmund has outscored opposition 32-7 at Westfalenstadion.

Recommendation: Back Dortmund above fair value

Germany Bundesliga
Hoffenheim v B. Monchengladbach
Saturday, April 15, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.06 Draw 3.50 Away 3.75
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.08 Draw 3.70 Away 3.90

Hoffenheim scores a 6 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 0.99 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.06. Hoffenheim has not lost yet at home this season.


Recommendation: Back Hoffenheim above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Inter v AC Milan
Saturday, April 15, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.16 Draw 3.60 Away 3.65
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.20 Draw 3.75 Away 3.80
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.96 Draw 3.90 Away 4.20

Inter scores a 10 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.1 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.11. Offering now at 0.86 of FV, punters might consider laying AC Milan. Solid home side advantage at San Siro. Inter has oustcored opponents 36-15 at home.

Recommendation: Back Inter above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Torino v Crotone
Saturday, April 15, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.57 Draw 4.40 Away 6.00
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 1.59 Draw 4.70 Away 7.40
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.56 Draw 4.80 Away 6.80

Torino scores a 9 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.01 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.02. Offering now at 0.89 of FV, punters might consider laying Crotone. Two recent wins have inspired Crotone in their battle to avoid relegation. Unfortunately, Torino is pretty tough on their home pitch.

Recommendation: Back Torino above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Granada CF v Celta Vigo
Sunday, April 16, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.78 Draw 3.50 Away 2.64
Betfair Lay Odds - Home 2.90 Draw 3.70 Away 2.70
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.15 Draw 3.55 Away 2.50

Celta Vigo scores a 8 out of 10 on our value scoring system and are trading near 1.06 % of fair value. Since the Betfair open, the bid has drifted 0.19. Offering now at 0.89 of FV, punters might consider laying Granada CF. Granada is in dismal form.

Recommendation: Back Celta Vigo above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Valencia v Sevilla
Sunday, April 16, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.62 Draw 3.70 Away 2.68

Fair Value Odds - Home 2.64 Draw 3.65 Away 2.84