Manchester United v Everton
Tuesday April 04, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 1
Manchester United
After yet another draw at home, Jose Mourinho yet again
pointed to the fact that his team dominated a game, and deserved to
win. He certainly had a point if you look at the balance of play - West
Brom came to Old Trafford to be compact and difficult to break down, and
succeeded where they had failed in recent defeats at Everton and Spurs.
United have now drawn four of their last five home games in the Premier
League, and they have now finished a game level 11 times in the top
flight this season. No other team in the league has drawn more matches.
As we head into the home stretch of the season, United find themselves
five points adrift of crosstown rivals Manchester City, and six behind
perennial north-west foes Liverpool. Yes, United have games in hand, but
you'd always rather have points in the bank.
There is at least some good news in terms of available personnel. Top scorer Zlatan Ibrahimovic
and midfielder Ander Herrera are both likely to start after suspension,
while Paul Pogba has recovered from a hamstring problem. Mourinho says
he will select his strongest available side.
Everton
For all the progress Everton have made in their first season under
Ronald Koeman, Saturday's derby defeat at Anfield shows there is still
work to be done. The Toffees haven't won at Anfield since 1999, and
unless they can rise to those big occasions as a collective, they won't
make the next step they crave so desperately.
A top-eight finish is virtually guaranteed, but with Arsenal stuttering
above them, there is scope for Everton to secure a place in the top six
with a late-season push. A final-day trip to the Emirates to take on the
ailing Gunners could prove crucial.
There are some reasons for Everton fans to be optimistic. Koeman's side
have taken four points off Manchester City this season, they beat
Arsenal at Goodison Park, and they held Manchester United to a 1-1 draw
on Merseyside. It's also worth noting that Everton have lost just four
of the clubs' last ten meetings in the Premier League.
Match Odds
United are trading at 1.60 to win the match, and given their recent run, that seems a touch short. I thought they would be able to break down West Brom at the weekend, but they lacked guile and composure in attack.
It's tempting to lay the hosts, but Everton have a pretty unimpressive
away record this term. They have won just two of their last 13 league
games on the road, and have lost seven of those.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5 Goals is trading at 2.06,
and seven of United's last nine games at Old Trafford have featured
fewer than three goals. One of the games that bucked the trend was a 4-0
FA Cup stroll against Wigan. United haven't seen a Premier League home
game feature three goals or more since New Year's Eve.
To Score
Zlatan's back, and no doubt raring to go. The big Swede hasn't scored
since his match-winning brace at Wembley against Southampton in the EFL
Cup final, but you can't keep him quiet for long (he has scored 26 goals
in all competitions), and I fancy him to make the difference on
Tuesday.
Recommended Bets
Back Under 2.5 Goals at 2.06
Back Zlatan Ibrahimovic to score at 1.80
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