QPR v Brighton
Friday 7th April, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports 1


QPR


QPR fell to a second successive 1-0 away defeat at Aston Villa on Tuesday, conceding very early on to a Jonathan Kodjia strike. However, the R's competed well and despite only firing in one on-target attempt, Ian Holloway believed the capital club deserved at least a point.

Massimo Luongo put in a superbly energetic performance as Rangers made five changes in midweek. With Championship safety all but assured, Holloway's expected to rotate his troops during an extended pre-season period for the hosts.

Strikers Matt Smith and Conor Washington should both be recalled here but Jordan Cousins is out for the rest of the season after surgery on a thigh injury whilst centre-back Joel Lynch has missed the last two matches.


Brighton

Brighton recorded a fourth win in five on Tuesday night to push the Seagulls even closer to Premier League football. Chris Hughton's charges overcame Birmingham 3-1 at the Amex despite the early departure of an ill Lewis Dunk.

Hughton admitted the Seasiders' past two outings could have gone "either way" but Glenn Murray continues to give opposition defences nightmares; the veteran forward is the first Albion player to reach the 20-goal barrier at this level since 1960.

Dunk is expected to return here to strengthen a central defence that featured on-loan Fikayo Tomori and Uri Hunemeier for over an hour in midweek. Meanwhile, striker Sam Baldock remains absent with a gluteal injury.


Match Odds

Each of the past four renewals between QPR and Brighton at Loftus Road have ended all-square but the visitors are now unbeaten in eight meetings with the Hoops and arrive with an impressive record against the lesser lights.

Since the start of last season, Albion have W14-D6-L2 at bottom-half clubs, recording 10 clean sheets in the process. It makes the 2.12 available on away success this Friday night reasonably appealing.

Nevertheless, QPR 3.95 have finally found their groove and are relishing playing in W12 under Holloway. The R's have churned out four successive home triumphs, admittedly against teams in the lower half of the table, scoring at least twice in each encounter.

Bar a record 6-0 shellacking by Newcastle early in the campaign, Rangers have competed ably against the division's elite and appear overpriced.


Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Brighton have silenced QPR in six of their past eight meetings and although Under 2.5 Goals 1.83 has banked in 12 of Albion's last 12 away days in the Championship, I'd be keen to oppose a low-scoring clash with the visitors missing a few key defensive components.

Each of Rangers' most recent six at Loftus Road have broken the two-goal barrier with the hosts failing to keep their sheets clean in 13 home outings. And under Holloway the Hoops have recorded 9/12 (75%) Over 2.5 Goals 2.18 winners.

Both Teams To Score is available to back at 1.93 - a price I'm happy to invest in. It's proven profitable in 10 (83%) of those 12 Loftus Road tussles under Holloway, as well as 10/22 (45%) Brighton road trips to bottom-half clubs.


Recommended Bets


Back Both Teams To Score @ 1.93


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